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$29,000 Gold Equilibrium— The Great Re-Collateralization Has Begun
Oct 09, 2025

$29,000 Gold Equilibrium— The Great Re-Collateralization Has Begun

The fiat debt supercycle is fracturing under its own weight — liquidity evaporating, collateral imploding, and truth repricing itself in ounces. From Japan’s yield-curve panic to record physical shorting and central banks hoarding gold at 50-year highs, the message is clear: the world’s money is migrating back to matter. Gold is becoming the new denominator of trust — and silver, the torque that makes the system snap back to reality.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
34M PSLV Shorts • –0.23¢ Silver EFP • ¥1 Trillion BOJ Injection — The Paper System Is Running Out of Real Collateral
Oct 08, 2025

34M PSLV Shorts • –0.23¢ Silver EFP • ¥1 Trillion BOJ Injection — The Paper System Is Running Out of Real Collateral

Record 34M PSLV shorts, –0.23¢ silver EFP inversion, and ¥1 trillion BOJ liquidity injections all point to one truth — the paper world is running out of real collateral.From Tokyo’s collapsing yen to London’s vanishing silver, the global monetary order is now cannibalizing its own foundation. The war between leverage and matter has begun — and physics always wins.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
When Paper Meets Its Limit: SLV Borrow Rate Touches 9.27%, EFPs Go Negative, and the Dollar’s Crown Cracks at 56.3%
Oct 07, 2025

When Paper Meets Its Limit: SLV Borrow Rate Touches 9.27%, EFPs Go Negative, and the Dollar’s Crown Cracks at 56.3%

Borrowing costs in silver just exploded nearly 4x in 48 hours — with zero shares available — while the world’s reserve currency hit its lowest global share since 1994. Beneath the surface, EFPs have gone negative, central banks are hoarding gold for the 26th straight month, and trust in paper markets is evaporating. The illusion of infinite liquidity is fracturing — and the world is quietly repricing reality in real time.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
🚨 The Global Pressure Break: USD/JPY 150.38 | JGB 30Y 3.292% | SLV Borrow 6.9% | Silver $48.34
Oct 06, 2025

🚨 The Global Pressure Break: USD/JPY 150.38 | JGB 30Y 3.292% | SLV Borrow 6.9% | Silver $48.34

USD/JPY has breached 150, signaling a currency defense so extreme it forces Japan to dump Treasuries, draining the global liquidity base. Japan’s 30Y yield at 3.292% — the highest in history — confirms sovereign control is gone. The BOJ can’t contain its own curve without detonating its bond market. SLV borrow fee exploded to 6.9% with only 4,000 shares available as silver rockets toward $50 — proof that paper metal is evaporating while physical supply vanishes. Gold and silver are ripping even with China offline, a signal that global capital is moving instinctively toward trust assets as fiat fractures. This isn’t a series of coincidences — it’s one event expressed through multiple instruments.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
39% of Funds Hold Zero Gold | SLV Loses 192 Tons | Silver Lease 7%+ | Rand & Tanaka Selling Out — The Reset is Already Underway
Oct 04, 2025

39% of Funds Hold Zero Gold | SLV Loses 192 Tons | Silver Lease 7%+ | Rand & Tanaka Selling Out — The Reset is Already Underway

From Switzerland’s negative curve to Japan & South Africa’s retail shortages, the paper façade is cracking and the physical market is seizing control. This isn’t a rally — it’s the opening act of a monetary regime change.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
$338 Trillion Debt, 67 BOJ Interventions, $1,735 Shipping Rates, 7.3% Silver Lease Rates: The System is Buckling
Oct 03, 2025

$338 Trillion Debt, 67 BOJ Interventions, $1,735 Shipping Rates, 7.3% Silver Lease Rates: The System is Buckling

From Japan’s central bank propping up its own bond market 67 times in 8 weeks... to container trade routes collapsing to 2023 lows...U.S. Households are falling into serious delinquencies — the last step before outright default.... to gold reserves about to eclipse Treasuries as the world’s base layer... the message is unmistakable: we are watching the foundations of the global financial order fracture and transform in real time.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
Overnight Funding Volume (SOFRVOL) Hits Yet ANOTHER All Time High🚨 (3.148T) While Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) Spikes 15bps Above Effective Fed Funds Rate
Oct 02, 2025

Overnight Funding Volume (SOFRVOL) Hits Yet ANOTHER All Time High🚨 (3.148T) While Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) Spikes 15bps Above Effective Fed Funds Rate

-12.7% in mortgage applications in a single month versus previous reading at +0.6% while the percentage of young adults living with their parents is highest since the Great Depression. Don't worry, everything's totally fine.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
$100-$200 Silver Projected In The Short to Mid-Term.
Oct 01, 2025

$100-$200 Silver Projected In The Short to Mid-Term.

Silver just closed its strongest quarter ever at $46.65, Michael Oliver (Momentum Structural Analysis) projects $100–200 ahead, and India’s imports are doubling even at record prices. Meanwhile, paper claims outweigh physical silver by 400:1, global debt has exploded to $338T vs $111T GDP, and money supply is surging 7.5% annualized. The entire system is cornered: fiat debt expansion on one side, finite metal scarcity on the other.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
The Great Repricing: Silver’s Signal in a $140 Trillion Storm
Sep 30, 2025

The Great Repricing: Silver’s Signal in a $140 Trillion Storm

An 11-year breakout vs 60/40, lease rates screaming scarcity, China’s $46T credit engine cracking, factories delaying silver delivery, and $11.5M volatility bets lighting the fuse. The world’s money supply is ballooning while trust in fiat is thinning — and capital is pivoting to hard collateral. Gold anchors, but silver — the industrial torque on monetary truth — is where the flood converges.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
COT Silver Report (Sept 17–23, 2025)
Sep 29, 2025

COT Silver Report (Sept 17–23, 2025)

📈 Price opened $42.875, closed $44.437, and as of this morning is already $47.11 — meaning this COT snapshot captured the front end of liftoff.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
The 5 PM Cannon Shot Heard ‘Round the Market
Sep 27, 2025

The 5 PM Cannon Shot Heard ‘Round the Market

At the weakest, thinnest stretch of Globex trading (4:59PM ET yesterday) — when we generally see large red candles — the script flipped. No stealth sell orders. No fade. Instead: a massive green candle ripping higher into illiquidity, right as we approach all-time highs. This isn’t normal price action — this is a pressure release valve beginning to seek equilibrium.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
🚨 6% Margin Hike... $450-500 Silver Math... and JPM Floating $6,000 Gold
Sep 26, 2025

🚨 6% Margin Hike... $450-500 Silver Math... and JPM Floating $6,000 Gold

COMEX just hiked silver margins +6.67% into a rally holding $45 overnight. The gold/silver ratio sits at 83:1 while mining reality is closer to 10:1 — pointing to $450–$500/oz silver. Above-ground supply is so scarce, 58M millionaires couldn’t even claim 70 ounces each. Gold is already $4,400–$10,000/oz by money-supply math — and even JPMorgan now floats $6,000. The distortion is breaking. The reset isn’t theory anymore — it’s math.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
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Decoding hidden fractures beneath the market’s surface — before the herd sees them.

The Sovereign Signal

Decoding hidden fractures beneath the market’s surface — before the herd sees them.

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