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Most Recent COT Report Shows Commercials Used Silver Price Dip To Close Shorts & Add Long Positions, Gold Still Just Roughly .6% of Investor Portfolio Allocations (4 Decade Average For Precious Metals In US is 2%), Iran Strike May Cause Global Margin Call Via Next Leg of Yen Carry Trade Unwind
Feb 14, 2026

Most Recent COT Report Shows Commercials Used Silver Price Dip To Close Shorts & Add Long Positions, Gold Still Just Roughly .6% of Investor Portfolio Allocations (4 Decade Average For Precious Metals In US is 2%), Iran Strike May Cause Global Margin Call Via Next Leg of Yen Carry Trade Unwind

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
Over 5% of COMEX Silver Drained WHILE Price Crashed 10% Yesterday, Silver Miners Prices Calling BS On Recent Silver Price Crash, COMEX Contango Narrowed Yesterday (Silver Backwardation Indicates Big Players Need Silver NOW)
Feb 13, 2026

Over 5% of COMEX Silver Drained WHILE Price Crashed 10% Yesterday, Silver Miners Prices Calling BS On Recent Silver Price Crash, COMEX Contango Narrowed Yesterday (Silver Backwardation Indicates Big Players Need Silver NOW)

There's no market like the silver market.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
US Bankruptcies Hit Highest Rate Since COVID, Margin Debt Makes Yet Another All Time High, 0DTE Options' Volume Hits New Records, Consumer Credit Card Debt 90 Days Past Due Hits Record 12.7%, Equity Risk Premium Goes Negative
Feb 12, 2026

US Bankruptcies Hit Highest Rate Since COVID, Margin Debt Makes Yet Another All Time High, 0DTE Options' Volume Hits New Records, Consumer Credit Card Debt 90 Days Past Due Hits Record 12.7%, Equity Risk Premium Goes Negative

Silver is the other side of the risk on speculative, driven mania.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
China just made it much harder to short silver unless you can prove you actually need to hedge a real physical position - new rules eliminate automatic rollovers for those short positions month to month. COMEX silver is leaving vaults at a high-velocity rate (~4M oz/day recently), with only ~101M oz registered (deliverable) left.
Feb 11, 2026

China just made it much harder to short silver unless you can prove you actually need to hedge a real physical position - new rules eliminate automatic rollovers for those short positions month to month. COMEX silver is leaving vaults at a high-velocity rate (~4M oz/day recently), with only ~101M oz registered (deliverable) left.

Buckle up brah.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
COMEX Silver On Pace To Be Drained In Under 3 Months, China's Silver Inventories Down 88% Since Their 2021 Peak - The Global Physical Silver Market Is On The Brink
Feb 10, 2026

COMEX Silver On Pace To Be Drained In Under 3 Months, China's Silver Inventories Down 88% Since Their 2021 Peak - The Global Physical Silver Market Is On The Brink

This will be a re-pricing event talked about for generations.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
Silver's "paper" market is completely disconnected from physical reality. Michael Oliver (Momentum Structural Analysis) believes $300-$500 silver may be in the cards in 2026.
Feb 09, 2026

Silver's "paper" market is completely disconnected from physical reality. Michael Oliver (Momentum Structural Analysis) believes $300-$500 silver may be in the cards in 2026.

The last week of January saw over 6 billion ounces of silver traded — 7+ years of global production — in a single week, while physical inventories in Shanghai and COMEX are collapsing.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
BOTH East (SHFE) and West (COMEX) Continue to Bleed Physical Silver, Silver Futures Traders Positioning Update, Silver Miners Suggest Short-Term Bullish Price Action For Silver, China Continues To Load Up On Gold
Feb 07, 2026

BOTH East (SHFE) and West (COMEX) Continue to Bleed Physical Silver, Silver Futures Traders Positioning Update, Silver Miners Suggest Short-Term Bullish Price Action For Silver, China Continues To Load Up On Gold

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
China Suspends 6 Groups of Accounts Amidst Abnormally Large Silver Liquidations, Silver Lease Rates Back Above 6% in London, Over 1 Billion Ounces of Silver Traded Daily In Last 7/9 Days, SHFE Vault Bleeds 15% In One Day
Feb 06, 2026

China Suspends 6 Groups of Accounts Amidst Abnormally Large Silver Liquidations, Silver Lease Rates Back Above 6% in London, Over 1 Billion Ounces of Silver Traded Daily In Last 7/9 Days, SHFE Vault Bleeds 15% In One Day

Silver's fundamentals are screaming "HIGHER NOW." We'll see how long it takes for price action to follow.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
Silver's Dislocation Points To A Market That's Breaking, 17.5M Ounces Claimed For Physical Delivery in First 4 Days Of February on COMEX Against Just 104M Ounces of Available Inventory
Feb 05, 2026

Silver's Dislocation Points To A Market That's Breaking, 17.5M Ounces Claimed For Physical Delivery in First 4 Days Of February on COMEX Against Just 104M Ounces of Available Inventory

Spot down over 12% this morning while the world is literally running out of silver. What a joke.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
Did Silver Shorts Just Narrowly Avoid A Default By Draining Vaults During Friday's Sell Off?
Feb 04, 2026

Did Silver Shorts Just Narrowly Avoid A Default By Draining Vaults During Friday's Sell Off?

Typically, 1-3% of COMEX contracts result in physical delivery. During the Friday sell off, all paper shorts found buyers that demanded physical delivery. Open interest just collapsed to it's lowest since May 2025.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
China Silver Vault Drains 2.8% in a Day, Shanghai SGE Silver Stock Drops to 494 Tons, Shanghai Silver Price Trades at 16.71% Premium Above Western Silver Price, COMEX Silver Vault: 104m Oz Registered vs 740m Oz Open Futures Positions, Gold Positioning Indicates Not Near Bull Market Top, U.S. Declares Metals ‘Strategic’ + $12B Stockpile
Feb 03, 2026

China Silver Vault Drains 2.8% in a Day, Shanghai SGE Silver Stock Drops to 494 Tons, Shanghai Silver Price Trades at 16.71% Premium Above Western Silver Price, COMEX Silver Vault: 104m Oz Registered vs 740m Oz Open Futures Positions, Gold Positioning Indicates Not Near Bull Market Top, U.S. Declares Metals ‘Strategic’ + $12B Stockpile

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
2.5× annual global silver production traded in one day, Shanghai silver premium blows out to record highs, COMEX silver available for delivery continues to decline, Silver backwardation (scarcity indicator) persists despite a sell off of statistically impossible magnitude
Feb 02, 2026

2.5× annual global silver production traded in one day, Shanghai silver premium blows out to record highs, COMEX silver available for delivery continues to decline, Silver backwardation (scarcity indicator) persists despite a sell off of statistically impossible magnitude

Just when you think it can't get any weirder.

Luke Lovett
Luke Lovett
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Decoding hidden fractures beneath the market’s surface — before the herd sees them.

The Sovereign Signal

Decoding hidden fractures beneath the market’s surface — before the herd sees them.

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